Risk evaluation at municipality level of a COVID-19 outbreak incorporating relevant geographic data: the study case of Galicia

Posted: 2021-10-29 19:00:00
The COVID-19 pandemic was an inevitable outcome of a globalized world in which a highly infective disease is able to reach every country in a matter of weeks. While lockdowns and strong mobility restrictions have proven to be efficient to contain the exponential transmission of the virus, its pervasiveness has made it impossible for economies to maintain this kind of measures in time. Understanding precisely how the spread of the virus occurs from a territorial perspective is crucial not only to prevent further infections but also to help with policy design regarding human mobility. From the large spatial differences in the behavior of the virus spread we can unveil which areas have been more vulnerable to it and why, and with this information try to assess the risk that each community has to suffer a future outbreak of infection. In this work we have analyzed the geographical distribution of the cumulative incidence during the first wave of the pandemic in the region of Galicia (north western part of Spain), and developed a mathematical approach that assigns a risk factor for each of the different municipalities that compose the region. This risk factor is independent of the actual evolution of the pandemic and incorporates geographic and demographic information. The comparison with empirical information from the first pandemic wave demonstrates the validity of the method. Our results can potentially be used to design appropriate preventive policies that help to contain the virus.

参考サイト PubMed: covid-19

Powered by Vergleichsportal


7月 18, 2021 バイオアソシエイツ


南フロリダ大学(USF Health)とタンパ総合病院(Tampa General Hospital)が新たに発表した研究によると、モノクローナル抗体は、リスクの高い患者に早期に投与することで、 COVID-19 に関連する救急外来の受診や入院を減少させる効果があることがわかった。FDAのガイドラインに沿って使用すれば、この治療法は、パンデミックによる患者や限られた医療資源への継続的な負担を軽減することができる、と研究者らは提案している。この共同研究は、2021年6月4日にOpen Forum…

ゲスト 701人 と メンバー 6人 がオンラインです